Cathie Wood, CEO and CIO of Ark Invest, has reaffirmed her bullish outlook on Bitcoin.
In a recent Big Ideas 2025 presentation, she stated that the odds of Bitcoin’s price reaching $1.5 million in a bull case scenario have significantly increased. Wood highlighted the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin as a key factor driving this heightened probability.
More Confidence in $1.5 Million Bitcoin Forecast
According to Wood, institutional investors increasingly view Bitcoin as an essential asset in their portfolios due to its unique return and risk profile. The continued maturation of the crypto market has made Bitcoin a more attractive option for large-scale investors seeking diversification.
Notably, from ARK Invest’s Big Ideas 2025 report, the firm maintains its ambitious Bitcoin price targets for 2030. The analysis projects three potential scenarios:
A bear case where Bitcoin reaches $300,000, reflecting a 21% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate).
A base case price target of $710,000, with a 40% CAGR.
A bull case scenario where Bitcoin soars to $1.5 million, requiring a 58% CAGR.
“Many know us for our bull case of $1.5 million. We actually think the odds have increased that this will be the correct number,” Wood remarked.
For context, Bitcoin is worth $95,500 today. Reaching $1.5 million demands a price appreciation of 1,470%. Ark Invest expects this growth to materialize over the next five years.
Notably, the firm is pinning these hopes on Bitcoin’s increasing role in institutional investment, digital gold adoption, emerging market safe-haven demand, nation-state treasury holdings, corporate treasuries, and on-chain financial services.
It expects institutional investments to account for up to 6.5% of the global market portfolio in the bull case. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s penetration as a digital gold asset could reach 60% of gold’s market cap.
Ark Invest’s View on Stablecoin
Beyond Bitcoin, Wood also discussed the rapid expansion of stablecoins. She highlighted that their total transaction value reached approximately $15.6 trillion last year—surpassing both Visa and Mastercard.
In particular, the transaction value of stablecoins was approximately 119% of Visa’s and 200% of Mastercard’s in 2024.
Meanwhile, Wood clarified that traditional payment processors still handle a higher volume of transactions. Yet, the sheer monetary value flowing through stablecoins demonstrates the accelerating shift toward a decentralized financial ecosystem.
She described this transformation as a fundamental restructuring of global finance, with crypto assets increasingly dominating.
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